$9.99 one-time
The Solo Bitcoin Mining Reality Check
You are about to spend real money on a home Bitcoin miner. Before you do, get an honest look at three numbers: your approximate odds of solo mining a block, what the electricity costs, and what owning the hardware costs you over five years.
Who this is for
- You have a Bitaxe, Avalon Nano or similar miner in your cart and you want a sanity check before paying.
- You have seen a solo miner find a block on social media and you want to know the real odds.
- You already own a small miner and want to understand the running cost you signed up for.
- You want to compare buying hardware against pooled mining, or against simply buying BTC.
What you get
The guide (PDF)
A plain-language walk through solo mining: how block finding actually works, why the odds look the way they do, where the ongoing costs hide, how to compare solo mining with pools, and how to decide honestly whether the purchase is worth it to you.
The full calculator
- Odds over one day, one year, five years and ten years
- Upfront hardware cost plus a five-year ownership estimate
- Side-by-side comparison of 1, 2, 5 and 10 miners
- A goal-aware reading of your result, based on why you are buying
- Manual difficulty override for modelling a harder network
What this is not
This is not an earnings projection, an investment product, or financial advice. It will not tell you that a small miner is profitable, because for most home setups the single most likely outcome over any period is no block at all. If a calculator promises you mining income, be sceptical of it — including this one, which deliberately refuses to.
Odds are based on live Bitcoin network difficulty and assume it stays flat, which is optimistic. Costs use the figures you enter, exclude resale value and repairs, and are estimates only.
Frequently asked questions about Solo Bitcoin Mining Reality Check
- What exactly do I get for $9.99?
- The Solo Bitcoin Mining Reality Check guide as a PDF, plus permanent access to the full Solo Mining Odds & Cost Calculator: hardware cost, five-year ownership estimate, multi-miner comparison, difficulty override and a goal-aware reading of your result. One payment, no subscription.
- How is this different from the free calculator?
- The free calculator answers 'what are my odds and what does the power cost'. The paid version answers 'what will owning this actually cost me over five years, does buying more miners change anything, and does my real reason for buying survive the numbers'. The guide walks through the decision in plain language.
- Does it promise mining profit?
- No. It is deliberately built to show you the probability and the cost, and to be honest that for a small home miner the most likely outcome over any period is no block at all. There are no earnings projections and no financial advice.
- Which miners does it cover?
- Any device where you know the hashrate and wattage. Presets are included for common home units such as the Bitaxe Gamma, Avalon Nano 3S, Avalon Mini 3 and Avalon Q, and you can enter your own figures for anything else.
- Do I need an account?
- No. After payment you get a private link that opens your PDF download and the full calculator. Save or bookmark that link — it is the key to your purchase.
- Can I get a refund?
- The product is delivered instantly as a digital download, so it is non-refundable once accessed. If something does not work, contact us and we will fix it or refund you.
Check the numbers before the hardware
$9.99 one-time. Instant access to the PDF and the full calculator through a private link — no account required.
Digital download. Non-refundable once accessed — see our terms.